Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.026289 0.028444 0.030603 0.032925 0.035347 0.037797 0.040458
2025-08-10 0.021831 0.025225 0.028750 0.032669 0.036886 0.041272 0.046164
2025-08-17 0.018838 0.022945 0.027334 0.032336 0.037841 0.043680 0.050307
2025-08-24 0.016670 0.021271 0.026311 0.032174 0.038744 0.045823 0.053969
2025-08-31 0.014836 0.019782 0.025325 0.031896 0.039377 0.047545 0.057055
2025-09-07 0.013390 0.018610 0.024586 0.031791 0.040111 0.049300 0.060104
2025-09-14 0.011900 0.017271 0.023555 0.031260 0.040281 0.050355 0.062312
2025-09-21 0.010585 0.016049 0.022581 0.030722 0.040378 0.051273 0.064315
2025-09-28 0.009275 0.014741 0.021427 0.029901 0.040085 0.051695 0.065710
2025-10-05 0.008855 0.014541 0.021604 0.030657 0.041631 0.054224 0.069509
2025-10-12 0.008275 0.014089 0.021435 0.030966 0.042624 0.056096 0.072539
2025-10-19 0.007574 0.013429 0.020967 0.030876 0.043113 0.057359 0.074848
2025-10-26 0.007169 0.013197 0.021092 0.031589 0.044664 0.059983 0.078884
2025-11-02 0.006388 0.012397 0.020457 0.031345 0.045062 0.061267 0.081392
2025-11-09 0.005653 0.011605 0.019789 0.031020 0.045330 0.062375 0.083679
2025-11-16 0.005050 0.010957 0.019275 0.030862 0.045780 0.063682 0.086185
2025-11-23 0.004468 0.010290 0.018698 0.030590 0.046063 0.064769 0.088416
2025-11-30 0.003994 0.009751 0.018268 0.030489 0.046541 0.066079 0.090902
2025-12-07 0.003446 0.009039 0.017552 0.029971 0.046463 0.066688 0.092532
2025-12-14 0.002954 0.008365 0.016854 0.029446 0.046351 0.067238 0.094073
2025-12-21 0.002448 0.007604 0.015981 0.028645 0.045852 0.067284 0.094985
2025-12-28 0.002337 0.007573 0.016213 0.029382 0.047367 0.069846 0.098970
2026-01-04 0.002140 0.007354 0.016142 0.029684 0.048302 0.071678 0.102063